Climate Adaptation Planning

Climate adaptation planning cycle
The general planning process for climate adaptation uses the consideration of scenarios (steps 2-5) to explore uncertainty about the future. Monitoring information can be used to inform scenarios in each of these steps and can be used to model what we expect in the future.

For more than 100 years, the National Park Service has managed parks to conserve, protect, and restore species and ecosystems to a best approximation of their “natural condition.” But climate change has created a new dynamic, in which historical baselines are often no longer achievable, maintainable, or relevant to expected future conditions. As we are learning from long-term monitoring, we can no longer assume our previous protection strategies will maintain species and ecosystems.

Park managers are using new approaches to think about what kinds of conditions species and ecosystems will face in the future, and what kinds of conservation choices they, as managers, will need to make. By using the best science information we have, park managers can explore the range of plausible future conditions based on how the climate is changing and the resulting changes to species and ecosystems. This planning process helps park managers:

  • develop forward-looking goals that conside future climatic conditions
  • consider more than one scenario of the future
  • link actions to climate impacts with intentionality
  • manage for change, not just persistence
  • reconsider existing management goals, not just strategies and actions, for compatibility in a changing world.


Here are some tools for thinking about park resources in planning for future climate scenarios. To learn more, check out this website on climate change.


Examples and Tools

Showing results 1-10 of 61

    • Locations: Devils Tower National Monument, Wind Cave National Park, Wrangell - St Elias National Park & Preserve
    A group of people look at a map on the hood of a car

    A recently published paper shares best practices for using this valuable tool.

    • Locations: Denali National Park & Preserve
    A snow-covered mountainside with a road slumping in between two construction zones

    Denali National Park and Preserve faces an escalating challenge due to climate change: the historically slow but steadily accelerating collapse down a hillside of the Denali Park Road. This 92-mile scenic route is the only road across six million acres of Denali National Park and Preserve wilderness, and it is an important transportation route for park staff and visitors

    • Locations: Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, Boston Harbor Islands National Recreation Area, Colorado National Monument, Devils Tower National Monument, Dinosaur National Monument,
    • Offices: Inventory and Monitoring Division, Natural Resources Stewardship & Science
    Bee laden with pollen sits atop a purple flower.

    Pollinators play a crucial role in national park ecosystems and beyond. In the national parks, species inventories help managers know which pollinators are present, and in what abundance, to better understand the state of park ecosystems and make decisions about how to manage them. From 2024 to 2026, 17 parks across the country will be surveyed for bees and butterflies.

    • Offices: Inventory and Monitoring Division, Natural Resources Stewardship & Science
    A cactus with pink flowers

    At national parks across the nation, the Inventory & Monitoring Program is dedicated to providing managers with the information they need to make sound, science-based decisions that will help support the National Park Service mission of preserving the resources of America’s most special and treasured places for future generations.

    • Offices: Inventory and Monitoring Division, Natural Resources Stewardship & Science
    A diver reaches a pole toward a fish in the foreground at a coral reef.

    To provide park managers with necessary information, the National Park Service has embarked on a new era of science-based management. An essential component of this strategy is vital signs monitoring, an effort to characterize and determine trends in the condition of park natural resources. When combined with an effective education program, monitoring results can contribute not only to park issues, but also to larger issues that affect the environmental health of the nation.

    • Offices: Inventory and Monitoring Division, Natural Resources Stewardship & Science
    A diver reaches a pole towards a fish in the foreground at a coral reef.

    El monitoreo de signos vitales del Programa del Inventario y Monitoreo (I&M) del NPS aporta datos e información científicamente fiables del estado y la tendencia de determinados recursos naturales a los directores de parques, planificadores, y demás sectores interesados. Esta información sirve como base para tomar decisiones y trabajar con otras agencias y con el público, para la protección a largo plazo de los ecosistemas de los parques.

    • Locations: Cumberland Gap National Historical Park
    • Offices: Cumberland Piedmont Inventory & Monitoring Network, Inventory and Monitoring Division, Natural Resources Stewardship & Science
    A person crouches to collect water from a small stream in a vial.

    In 2008, scientists from the Cumberland Piedmont Network found a concerning trend: E. coli levels were too high. The source needed to be identified and addressed for the health and safety of the thousands of humans and animals that enjoyed the park. The network's long-term water quality monitoring program not only helped to identify the issue, but it also provided the tools to evaluate the solution.

    • Locations: Bryce Canyon National Park
    • Offices: Inventory and Monitoring Division, Northern Colorado Plateau Inventory & Monitoring Network
    A lone pine tree grows on a canyon rim, its roots exposed.

    Have you wondered what will happen to vegetation in arid climates if they become more arid in the future? Northern Colorado Plateau Network scientists explored the relationships between climate and vegetation at Bryce Canyon National Park. Results include discovery of changes that have already occurred and identification of vegetation types that are most sensitive to continued climate change, providing managers with insights into future scenarios that can aid decision making.

    • Locations: Tonto National Monument
    • Offices: Sonoran Desert Inventory & Monitoring Network
    Aerial shot of the lower cliff dwelling, surrounded by saguaro cactus and green desert foliage.

    Sonoran Desert Network scientists monitor key resources and weather at Tonto National Monument by taking measurements throughout the year, which helps us track changes over time. This report summarizes weather and springs data from Water Year 2022. The data describe a dramatic change to Cave Canyon Spring. WY2022 was the third consecutive year of drought, and the park received less than average precipitation in all but three months.

    • Locations: Rocky Mountain National Park
    A burned forest standing beside pink flowers and other vegetation growing along boulders.

    At Rocky Mountain National Park, climate change is intensifying the impacts of drought, invasive species, and wildfire, and stressing the ecosystems that rely on natural processes to remain consistent. Read more about how RMNP is using the RAD framework to adapt to their changing landscape.

Last updated: July 11, 2023