Part of a series of articles titled Intermountain Park Science: Drought in the Southwest.
Article
Developing Climate Change Strategies and Actions at Your Park
- Tom Olliff, NPS Intermountain Region, Program Manager Landscape Conservation and Climate Change, National Park Service
- Pam Benjamin, NPS Intermountain Region, Climate Change Coordinator, National Park Service
- Andrew Erwin, NPS Intermountain Region, Sustainability Coordinator, National Park Service
- Joel Reynolds, Solutions Consulting
- Wylie Carr, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Climate Change Planning Specialist, National Park Service
- Larry Perez, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Communications Coordinator, National Park Service
- Amber Runyon, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Ecologist, National Park Service
- Koren Nydick, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Climate Science and Adaptation Coordinator, National Park Service
- Gregor W. Schuurman, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Ecologist, National Park Service
- David Lawrence, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Ecologist, National Park Service
- John Gross, NPS Climate Change Response Program, Ecologist, National Park Service
Abstract
To be effective, the National Park Service (NPS) response to climate change must be applied at the park level. The NPS Climate Change Response Program (CCRP) and partners have developed tools, frameworks, and strategies to help park managers understand, adapt to, mitigate, and communicate about climate change. This article details what these tools are and how parks can access them, using examples from the American Southwest emphasizing drought and its effects.
Megadrought. Aridification. Call it what you will, current conditions are unprecedented in modern history. In the American Southwest, 2000-2021 was the driest 22-year period since at least AD 800 (Williams et al. 2022). Impacts from this unprecedented drought are affecting southwest parks. Along the Colorado River, water levels at Lake Powell have sunk to historic lows, resulting in the closure of 11 of 12 large boat launches, the passage of non-native smallmouth bass into Grand Canyon, and exposure of cultural resources to potential theft and vandalism. Bandelier National Monument has experienced increased rates of drought, fires, floods, and soil erosion, all of which are affecting archeological resources and ecological processes. Mean annual temperatures in the Southwest Region are projected to increase 5-8°F in the 21st Century (USGCRP 2017) and is expected to become drier and experience more aridity during La Niña conditions (Dominguez et al. 2010).
In 2023, the National Park Service (NPS) updated the Climate Change Response Strategy (NPS 2023a; Strategy) to help parks develop coordinated park-based climate change responses through four cornerstones of action: Understand, Adapt, Mitigate, and Communicate. Based on a model developed by the Intermountain Region (IMR), the Resource Stewardship Advisory Team (RAST) Climate Change Workgroup, the Climate Change Response Program (CCRP) developed a Quick Guide to make it simpler for parks to implement the four cornerstones and 12 goals of the Strategy. This article explains how parks can, and have, used the Strategy and Quick Guide (NPS internal link) to respond to climate change.
Coordinate Your Park’s Climate Response
The Quick Guide recommends two high-level actions that are key to a park’s climate change response: (1) coordinate across divisions and (2) incorporate the Strategy into annual work planning. Climate change response involves every park division, from facilities managing the Green Parks Plan, rangers incorporating climate change response into operations, interpreters engaging the public, and resource managers understanding and adapting to climate change in natural and cultural resources. To best respond to climate change, parks should assign a climate change coordinator and create a cross-divisional team to coordinate actions and review progress on climate change response. At a minimum, this team should hold at least one annual meeting of the leadership team to review accomplishments, progress, and future priorities and incorporate information about the park’s response to climate change into at least one all-employee meeting or training.
Strategy Cornerstone: Understand
Know how climate is changing at your park
How has climate changed in the last 50 years? How is it projected to change in the next 30-50 years? Parks have resources to help answer these questions, including:
Climate Futures. The NPS Climate Change Response Program (CCRP) has produced climate futures—descriptions of the physical attributes of plausible future climates that could occur at a specific place and time (Runyon et al. 2024)—and summaries on climate exposure for all parks in the conterminous United States. These climate futures look at divergent climate projections that broadly characterize climate uncertainty so they can be used to stress-test goals, activities, and decisions. Climate futures are illustrated in Figure 1 by plotting each model’s average temperature and precipitation projections for the years 2040-2070. Climate futures are illustrated in Figure 1 by plotting each model’s average temperature and precipitation projections for the years 2040-2070. The projections are each equally plausible realizations of the future and range from “warmer to hotter” and “wetter to drier” (Figure 1; see Runyon et al. 2024 for details).
State or regional climate assessments. The Fifth (and latest) National Climate Assessment (NCA5; USGCRP 2023) provides summaries of observed and projected trends in climate change, as well as associated effects at the national and regional levels. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) provides State Climate Summaries that present climate exposure and impacts to ecological processes such as wildfire. Both products can provide important information on climate exposure and vulnerabilities for your park.
Finally, you can find several different climate summaries specific to your park by searching in the NPS Integrated Resource Management Applications (IRMA) Data Store. These summaries include historic and projected changes in temperature and precipitation, projected climate-driven changes in park visitation, climate-related changes in bird populations, and, for some parks, resource-specific vulnerability assessments.
Know how your resources, infrastructure and operations are vulnerable to climate change
Understanding the vulnerability of park resources is important to developing proactive management plans. Climate change vulnerability assessments (CCVAs) evaluate climate exposure, sensitivity of resources or facilities, and for living resources, adaptive capacity. Climate change vulnerability assessments identify what is at risk and why. Despite the significant climate-change vulnerabilities facing parks, relatively few parks have site- or resource-specific CCVAs to inform any of their major management decisions (Peek et al. 2022, Michalak et al. 2021). While climate futures, the National Climate Assessment, and the NOAA State Summaries help identify the major exposure concerns that parks may face, CCVAs combine them with climate sensitivities (and adaptive capacity for living resources) to identify vulnerabilities, providing a foundation to identify climate adaptation options, and promote climate-informed management decisions. Since CCVAs are driven by exposure and sensitivity, and exposure differs by location and sensitivity differs by the CCVA target (e.g., sagebrush vegetation vs elk vs park water supply), there is no such thing as a park CCVA that will answer all questions and inform all decisions.
Where do you find CCVAs? There are several regional scale or species-focused studies, including the U.S. Forest Service-led regional CCVAs (e.g., Halofsky et al. 2018a,b; Williams and Friggins 2017) assessments for regional forested areas, and published assessments of key species, trees, fish, or other taxa (e.g., Bagne et al. 2011, Isaak et al. 2016). More climate change assessments can be found through the USDA Climate Hubs.The NPS Vanishing Treasures Program with partners from the University of Arizona, the University of Pennsylvania, and Boise State University, created the Cultural Resources Environmental Assessment Toolbox (CREVAT) to understand how cultural resources are vulnerable to climate change. CREVAT provides data for six key environmental exposures variables (annual maximum temperature, extreme precipitation, number of dry days, wildfire, soil erosion, and changes in freeze-thaw) and integrates climate exposure data with the sensitivity of materials in a geospatial system. Because cultural resources are often composed of more than one material type (stone, wood, metal, adobe, etc.), and each material type can have a different level of sensitivity to climate, CREVAT uses a unique “building systems” framework to evaluate resource vulnerability (Figure 3).
The NPS Sustainable Operations and Maintenance Branch has developed the Natural Hazards Handbook (explained in detail below) to help park managers identify and respond to climate risks during the facilities planning and design process. The Natural Hazards Checklist, part of the handbook, lists 27 potential climate risks with links to databases and resources to assess those risks.
Despite these studies and tools, we don’t have a quantitative vulnerability assessment for every resource. Often the best source of vulnerability information will be park staff and partners with local expertise that can tease out how climate change may impact your resources on a site-by-site, resource-by-resource basis. The CCRP has developed worksheets to help parks do this (see section Manage Resources and Facilities with Climate Impacts in Mind for more information).
Strategy Cornerstone: Adapt
Manage resources and facilities with climate impacts in mind
After park managers understand climate exposure and vulnerability, they will need to decide whether, when, and how to manage resources and facilities in response to these plausible projected climate impacts. The Resist-Accept-Direct (RAD)—A Decision Framework for the 21st-century Natural Resource Manager (Schuurman et al. 2020, Schuurman et al. 2022) provides a simple set of distinct management options that park managers can consider when responding to ecosystems facing the potential for rapid, irreversible ecological change. This framework encourages natural resource managers to consider strategic, forward-looking actions rather than maintain management goals based on past conditions. The RAD response options include:
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Resist the trajectory, by working to maintain or restore ecosystem composition, structure, processes, or function on the basis of historical or acceptable current conditions.
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Accept the trajectory, by allowing ecosystem composition, structure, processes, or function to change autonomously.
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Direct the trajectory, by actively shaping ecosystem composition, structure, processes, or function toward preferred new conditions (Schuurman et al. 2022).
The three RAD options vary in terms of whether and in what way managers intentionally intervene to shape the trajectory of ecosystem change. Where and when they do decide to intervene, managers can choose preferred ecological outcomes that vary from a return to a historical benchmark, to persistence of existing (non-historical) conditions, or emergence of conditions for which there may be no local precedent.
The RAD framework also is applicable to cultural resource and facilities, in addition to natural resources. For example, mangers can resist change by protecting or rebuilding resources/assets in place, accept change by documenting them while allowing deterioration or removal, or direct change by moving or rebuilding them in less vulnerable locations or using more sustainable materials. Post-disaster response, including Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) and Burned Area Rehabilitation (BAR) presents an opportunity to apply RAD across disciplines.
To help managers move from broad approaches to adaptation to identifying more specific adaptation strategies and actions, NPS developed Planning for a Changing Climate (P4CC; NPS 2021). Planning for a Changing Climate (see section Build Climate Change Information in your Plans and Operations for more information) uses worksheets to help managers (1) Record existing resource management goals; (2) Assess resource vulnerability to climate change; (3) Re-examine your management goals in light of climate change vulnerability; (4) Brainstorm adaptation (management) strategies and actions; (5) Prioritize adaptation (management) strategies and actions; and (6) Implement strategies and track effectiveness. In addition, the U.S. Forest Service’s Northern Institute of Climate Applied Science has synthesized management strategies and approaches into menus for a variety of natural resource topics. These “menus” provide lists of adaptation actions that can help you move from broad ideas to specific actions. Park managers can use these resources to select appropriate actions based on their unique project location and goals (Swanston et al. 2016).
The NPS Sustainability Operations and Maintenance Branch developed the Addressing Climate Change and Natural Hazards Handbook (Handbook) to help facilities managers adapt to climate change. Grounded in NPS Policy Memorandum 15-01 (NPS 2015a), the Handbook provides a process and information to help identify, avoid, and mitigate risks associated with environmental change hazards and effects on facility investments. The Handbook includes two parts: (1) Natural Hazards Checklist and (2) Natural Hazards Risk Assessment. The Natural Hazards Checklist is a screening tool to be used at the investment concept stage to help teams determine potential climate change effects and natural hazards to a proposed facilities investment. The Natural Hazards Risk Assessment is a tool to be used throughout the project, from investment concept through project scoping and design to help teams minimize and mitigate the hazards or climate change implications identified in the checklist on the planned investment. Managers are required to use the Handbook for any project they bring forward to the Bureau Investment Review Board.
Address climate change through routine plans and operations
Climate change is creating a new and dynamic environment that challenges the NPS mission to “manage park resources and values in such manner and by such means as will leave them unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations” (NPS 2006). Thus, the NPS is developing guidance and decision support tools that improve park planning efforts in response to continually shifting climate conditions. Planning for a Changing Climate (P4CC) is at the forefront of this guidance, helping NPS planners and managers identify climate adaptation options as a regular practice across comprehensive, strategic, and implementation plans as well as in day-to-day operations.
P4CC guides NPS planners and managers in developing robust climate change adaptation strategies to better protect park resources and assets today and for future generations. P4CC advances Climate-Smart Conservation (Stein et al. 2014) and customizes it to NPS planning purposes. More specifically, P4CC highlights that climate-informed planning processes need to:
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Develop forward-looking goals that consider future climatic conditions. Adaptation planning looks to the future, not the past, by using climate projections to adopt forward-looking goals; and
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Consider more than one scenario of the future when developing management strategies and actions. Adaptation planning considers multiple scenarios of the future to account for uncertainty in the scope, magnitude, and effects of climate change.
As part of planning processes, parks should consider climate change in National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) analyses as climate change is likely to affect park resources and a park’s ability to reach project goals. Considering climate change in NEPA analyses helps identify potential impacts over the full planning time horizon. The NPS Environmental Quality Division recommends adding climate change as part of the trends section of affected environment.
Specific to facilities planning, Policy Memo 15-01 (NPS 2015a), Addressing Climate Change and Natural Hazards for Facilities, requires park managers and planners to identify and document facility vulnerabilities to climate change. Policy Memo 15-01 also provides guidance on the design of facilities to incorporate impacts of climate change adaptation and natural hazards. The Addressing Climate Change and Natural Hazards Handbook (NPS 2015b) tiers from Policy Memo 15-01 and includes a Natural Hazard Checklist (NPS 2015c), which provides a screening tool to determine the most likely hazards a project may confront. The Coastal Adaptation Strategies Handbook (Beavers et al. 2016) recommends how to assess vulnerability for coastal infrastructure, with over 20 coastal vulnerability assessments having been published for parks.
Strategy Cornerstone: Mitigate
Implement sustainable practices
The NPS manages the largest number of constructed assets of any civilian agency in the federal government. The NPS developed the Green Parks Plan, 3rd Edition (NPS 2023b) to ensure that the NPS is reducing its environmental impact. The plan establishes five ambitious goals to improve sustainability and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including:
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Be Climate Friendly and Climate Ready
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Be Energy Smart and Water Wise
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Buy Green and Reduce, Reuse, and Recycle
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Green Our Rides
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Foster a Sustainability Ethic
Since the Green Parks Plan was introduced, the NPS has reduced energy and water consumption, limited waste generation, began the transition of fleet to zero-emission vehicles, and is managing its facilities more sustainably. Further, as of FY 2020, NPS has reduced our GHG emissions by 32% compared to the FY 2008 baseline.
The Climate Friendly Parks (CFP) Program supports the NPS Green Parks Plan. The CFP Program is structured around four milestones (Submit an Application; Complete a Greenhouse Gas Inventory; Conduct a CFP Workshop; Complete a CFP Action Plan). After successfully completing these milestones, a park becomes an official CFP Member Park. Fourteen IMR parks have been certified Climate Friendly since the program began in 2012.
Strategy Cornerstone: Communicate
Communicate with the public about climate change in your park
National parks are living laboratories where the effects of climate change can be readily observed and demonstrated. Given an annual reach of 800 million in-person and digital visitors—and our vast cadre of communication specialists—the NPS is uniquely positioned to advance public dialogue on the climate crisis.
The CCRP provides guidance and inspiration for park-level communications. The National Climate Change Interpretation and Education Strategy (NPS 2016a) advances four broad goals for communicating about the science and impacts of climate change across the NPS, including (1) provide opportunities to find personal relevance in relation to climate change; (2) develop a climate-conscious workforce; (3) provide leadership in national and global climate change response; and (4) cultivate a community of climate communication with our partners. The Climate Change Subject Site on NPS.gov provides robust, public-facing information on NPS climate change response, and climate-related updates are shared regularly through dedicated monthly newsletters.
Several ongoing, targeted efforts further support park-level communication. Original research findings on audience analysis (Davis et al. 2012) and current interpretive methods (Roberts et al. 2021) provide insight to guide the development of products and messaging. Annual offerings of the Interpreting Climate Change virtual course provide training to front-line communicators on best practices in climate communication. Curriculum-based K-12 education on climate-related topics is supported through various partnership efforts (Perez et al. 2020), including the Park for Every Classroom program.
Technical assistance requests, one-time project funding, and youth internship programs provide additional opportunities to advance discrete climate communication projects. Such mechanisms have supported the development of in-park waysides, park-specific climate web pages, interpretive multi-media videos, and climate communication strategies.
Train our workforce
The Department of the Interior (DOI) Climate Action Plan (2021) prioritizes the development of a climate-literate workforce to meet management challenges posed by the climate crisis. The CCRP supports workforce climate change literacy efforts through the development of training plans, content delivery, outcomes evaluation, and coordination across bureaus in the DOI. The existing portfolio of training offerings provides various depths of learning across priority disciplines, delivered in a variety of online, in-person, and hybrid formats.
The NPS Workforce Climate Change Literacy: Needs Assessment and Strategy provides a service-wide blueprint for cultivating a climate-capable workforce. The strategy informs training “road maps” for specific occupational categories and guides investments in future curricula. The CCRP offers a blended portfolio of formal and informal learning opportunities targeting NPS employees across occupational series (NPS 2016b). Periodic webinars, monthly newsletters, and a growing collection of climate change videos support continued learning and discussion around climate change topics. And climate change content is increasingly incorporated into existing, servicewide curricula, such as the NPS Fundamentals intake training.
Collaborate with partners
The scale of climate change impacts will far exceed the ability of any one park, agency, or organization to effectively respond. Standing and ad-hoc partnerships improve our collective ability to respond to climate change. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)-led Climate Adaptation Science Centers (CASCs) and USGS Science Centers have a strong record of helping parks respond to climate. Parks are well established members of ecosystem-level partnerships such as the Crown Managers’ Partnership, the Greater Yellowstone Coordinating Committee, the Gunnison Climate Working Group, the Greater Grand Canyon Landscape Assessment, and Southwest Colorado Climate Adaptation Working Group, as well as working with local communities and universities.
Conclusion
It is time to re-focus our energies on how climate change is affecting and will affect park natural and cultural resources, facilities, operations, and visitor experience. We need to prepare for both the dramatic, rapid impacts of climate change like more extreme fires, storms, and floods, as well as more gradual impacts like extended droughts and shifts in seasonality. To do so, we need to build park-based climate responses into all aspects of park management—that is, mainstream climate change response.
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Last updated: January 8, 2025